Tsinghua University is expected to see CPI rise by

Tsinghua University: it is expected that this year's CPI will rise by 3.04% and GDP will increase by 8.4%

Tsinghua University: it is expected that this year's CPI will rise by 3.04% and GDP will increase by 8.4%

China Construction Machinery Information

Guide: on the 24th, Li Daokui, director of the China and world economic center of Tsinghua University, announced the macroeconomic forecast results on behalf of their research team: it is expected that this year's CPI will rise by 3.04% year on year, but the inflationary pressure is still on, and CPI may rise year on year in March and April; GDP grew by 8.4% this year, but fell to 7% in the second quarter

on the 24th, Li Daokui, director of the China and world economic center of Tsinghua University, announced the macroeconomic forecast results on behalf of their research team: it is expected that the CPI for the whole year will rise by 3.04% year-on-year, but the inflationary pressure is still on, and the CPI may rise year-on-year in March and April; GDP growth this year reached 8.4%, but fell to 7.9% in the second quarter, and began to rise in the last two quarters, showing a U-shaped trend

the report said that since 2011, the decline in GDP growth quarter by quarter was caused by the decline in foreign demand and growth expectations under the influence of the European and American debt crisis, and it was also the result of the active adjustment of the economic structure and the gradual withdrawal of stimulus policies within the mediation, elimination and upgrading of people's economic tensions, such as aerospace, national defense, kerosene chemical industry, transportation and so on. All kinds of conduit manufacturers display the latest products and technologies. China's rapid growth in the past relied too much on external demand and investment, and consumption's contribution to economic growth is obviously insufficient. The stability of the world economy in the future is not as good as that of the first transmission system, and it will be in a low-speed growth period for a long time. The structural adjustment of "expanding domestic demand and stimulating consumption" will still be the leading direction of China's economic development in the future

domestically, the annual CPI is expected to be around 3.0%. The policy effect of stabilizing prices since the second half of last year has initially appeared, opening room for the adjustment of macro-control policies in the future. Judging from the trend of interbank offered rate, monetary conditions have improved. It is expected that the current monetary conditions will continue the fine-tuning trend of several months on the basis of stabilizing prices in the future

the report points out that the CPI in March is expected to be 3.5% year-on-year, a slight drop from the previous month, and the CPI in the first quarter of 2012 was 3.7% year-on-year. As the tail raising factor began to weaken in the third quarter, it is expected that the CPI in the second half of the year will fall below 3% year-on-year in the absence of external shocks. In 2012, the annual CPI rose by 3.04%, and in 2013, the annual CPI was 3.53% year-on-year. However, it should also be noted that the uncertainty of price rebound in the future is still great, and the macro clip installation of "price control" should not be completely locked, and the control measures should continue